Proposal for indicators and resilience index for Brazilian municipalities using MUNIC/IBGE data

Abstract

The increase in climate change related disasters has driven the need for public policies that strengthen the resilience and adaptation of urban communities. However, the scarcity of consistent data limits the assessment of cities’ resilience. This study aims to develop a Preliminary Municipal Resilience Index (IPRM), applicable to all Brazilian municipalities, using questions drawn from IBGE’s Basic Municipal Information Survey. The IPRM is composed of 169 indicators, organized into three sub-indices: Disaster Risk Management, Environment, and Social Governance. Each indicator is scored as 1 (favorable to resilience) or 0 (unfavorable), and the index is calculated as the arithmetic mean of the sub-indices. The IPRM was calculated for all 5,570 Brazilian municipalities, revealing an average value of 0.336. The results show performance below the average value of the proposed index for most cities, allowing for the identification of gaps and priorities. The application of the IPRM contributes to the formulation of more effective public policies, promoting the adaptation of municipalities to the demands of climate change.